The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
University College Dublin 36.2%
Draw 24.9%
Bray Wanderers 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
25.2%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
24.4%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Bray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for University College Dublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bray Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kavanagh D. (G) 3. Cailloce L. 18. Holohan N. 6. Wells A. 27. Sheeran E. 7. McCullagh M. 22. Morley T. 8. Dignam L. 14. Curtis H. 11. Smith H. 12. Alonge M.
13. Hogan R. (G) 23. Ryan J. 27. O'Shea D. (C) 12. Osagie D. 4. Duggan J. 17. Oluwabiyi A. 10. Ferizaj R. 6. Sesay J. B. 18. McCormack B. 21. Mustali E. 20. Sammy T.
Substitutes
10. Behan C. 19. Bolton C. 26. Costello D. 16. Douglas N. (G) 13. Goad J. 5. Lennox C. 33. McBrearty R. 31. Mohan S. 24. Norval S.
11. Achara I. 14. Azede N. 30. Cheese E. 5. Havales S. 15. Kelly R. 2. Kizenga A. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 33. Shelley B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Ryan J. 🟨,
18', Duggan J. 🟨,
24', Alonge M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, McCormack B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Ferizaj R. ⚽,
57', Ferizaj R. 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Sammy T. ⚽,
62', Morley T. ↓, Behan C. ↑,
62', Curtis H. ↓, Lennox C. ↑,
62', Alonge M. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
63', Ferizaj R. ↓, Cheese E. ↑,
63', McCullagh M. ↓, Norval S. ↑,
63', Ryan J. ↓, Kizenga A. ↑,
64', Sesay J. B. 🟨,
71', Oluwabiyi A. ↓, Achara I. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Norval S. ⚽,
75', Kizenga A. 🟨,
80', Sesay J. B. ↓, Kelly R. ↑,
80', Sammy T. ↓, Havales S. ↑,
84', Dignam L. ↓, Goad J. ↑,
90+3', Achara I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UCD has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:34 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UCD against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bray
34
15
8
11
65:49
16
53
3
UC Dublin
34
15
7
12
61:48
13
52
Last Results with these Odds
University College Dublin - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.