Match Info

FAI Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Finn Harps		Bray Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.30	3.50	1.87
	3.3	3.45	1.92
	3.68	3.65	1.93
	3.67	2.59	2.40	Watch
	3.45	3.55	1.9
	3.36	3.82	1.96	Watch
	3.35	3.5	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
26.8%

Draw
26.8%

Bray Wanderers
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.4%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, Knight C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 2.

Recent form of Finn Harps has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bray Wanderers is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bray Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Finn Harps - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Finn Harps - Treaty United	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Finn Harps - Wexford	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Cobh Ramblers - Finn Harps	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLL
- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	6:0 ✺
03.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Cork City - Bray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Bray Wanderers - Longford Town	5:2 ✺
12.06.26	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
04.05.26	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	2:1
06.04.26	Bray Wanderers - Finn Harps	2:2
19.09.25	Bray Wanderers - Finn Harps	3:2
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.25	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	3:1
Irish Division 1
04.08.25	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	2:2
30.05.25	Bray Wanderers - Finn Harps	3:1
21.03.25	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	5:0

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