Match Info

Division 1 - Round 21

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Dundalk		Cobh Ramblers

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	2.4	3.3	3.12
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	2.18	3.2	3.23
	1.75	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.75)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	3.63 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
45.8%

Draw
28.6%

Cobh Ramblers
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.7%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundalk's form might have worsened.

Cobh Ramblers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobh Ramblers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cobh Ramblers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Dundalk - Cobh Ramblers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cobh Ramblers (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Dundalk (1.61) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dundalk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cobh Ramblers (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 12. Mulligan L. 3. Keogh S. 15. Leonard V. 4. Animasahun M. 17. Ward K. 6. Dervin A. 7. Horgan D. (C) 16. Kenny E. 9. Ebbe D. 11. Arubi G.	16. Martin T. (G) 38. Le Bervet L. 6. Griffin S. (C) 18. Hakkinen J. 4. O'Keeffe N. 14. Coleman C. 28. Holland D. 8. Coffey B. 23. Griffin S. 88. Whelan M. 9. Murphy C.
Substitutes
18. Cherrie P. (G) 8. Groome H. 5. McHale S. 24. Molloy T. 23. Paraschiv A. 19. Spaight S. 26. Tracey S.	39. Abbott J. 45. Bellis S. 22. Carroll M. 15. Curtin L. 24. Deasy E. 12. Evers N. 5. Frahill B. 70. Lane K. (G) 3. O'Donovan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Arubi G. ⚽,
20', Le Bervet L. 🟨,
26', Murphy C. 🟨,
38', Ebbe D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kilduff C. 🟨,
59', Ebbe D. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
60', Ward K. ↓, Paraschiv A. ↑,
65', Holland D. ↓, Bellis S. ↑,
68', Griffin S. 🟨,
72', O'Keeffe N. ↓, Abbott J. ↑,
72', Mulligan L. ↓, McHale S. ↑,
86', Murphy C. ↓, Frahill B. ↑,
86', Le Bervet L. ↓, O'Donovan J. ↑,
87', Keogh S. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', Coleman C. 🟨,
89', Horgan D. 🟨,
90+4', Coleman C. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 5.

Dundalk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cobh Ramblers is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Dundalk is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:2. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
23.06.25	Finn Harps - Dundalk	1:0 ✺
20.06.25	Dundalk - Treaty United	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	Dundalk - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Wexford - Dundalk	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Dundalk - Kerry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTWW
- Cobh Ramblers
Irish Division 1
23.06.25	Cobh Ramblers - Kerry	1:0 ✺
20.06.25	University College Dublin - Cobh Ramblers	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Longford Town - Cobh Ramblers	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Cobh Ramblers - Treaty United	2:1 ✺
23.05.25	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
16.05.25	Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk	1:2
11.04.25	Dundalk - Cobh Ramblers	1:0
Club Friendly
18.01.22	Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk	0:3
Irish FAI Cup
30.08.20	Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk	0:2
10.08.19	Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk	0:1
10.08.18	Dundalk - Cobh Ramblers	3:0
Irish League Cup
06.08.18	Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk	1:0

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