Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Dundalk		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.78	3.9	4.25
				Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.74	3.74	4.16
	1.33	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)	3.77 ↓ (4.14)	4.73 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
56.2%

Draw
24.4%

Treaty United
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundalk's form might have worsened.

Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Dundalk - Treaty United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 2 - 40%). Treaty United (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Treaty United (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Treaty United (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Treaty United (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 2 - 25%). Treaty United (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 6. Dervin A. 15. Leonard V. 5. McHale S. 12. Mulligan L. 26. Tracey S. 8. Groome H. 10. Gaxha L. 16. Kenny E. 7. Horgan D. (C) 9. Ebbe D.	1. Chambers C. (G) 25. Walsh M. (C) 20. O'Connor E. 33. Martin E. 5. Devitt L. 34. O'Sullivan K. 8. Conroy C. 30. Murphy S. 2. Boevi R. 9. Mahdy Y. 12. Kozlowski N.
Substitutes
18. Cherrie P. (G) 21. Haris M. 24. Molloy T. 23. Paraschiv A. . Platt S. 20. Safaei S. (G) 19. Spaight S. 17. Ward K. . Woods C.	10. Dolya V. 16. Hanson J. 6. Healy S. 28. Horgan C. 26. Lawlor R. 24. Lee B. 3. Lynch B. 13. Williams C. (G) 18. Wilson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', O'Connor E. 🟨,
38', Kenny E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', Murphy S. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
69', Kozlowski N. ↓, Lawlor R. ↑,
69', Tracey S. ↓, Paraschiv A. ↑,
72', Boevi R. ↓, Lynch B. ↑,
77', Ebbe D. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
80', Conroy C. ↓, Healy S. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Groome H. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Walsh M. ⚽,

Preview

Dundalk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Treaty United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Dundalk is the clear favorite.

We predict that Dundalk will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Dundalk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
13.06.25	Dundalk - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Wexford - Dundalk	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Dundalk - Kerry	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWT
- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
13.06.25	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Cobh Ramblers - Treaty United	2:1 ✺
23.05.25	Treaty United - Longford Town	5:1 ✺
16.05.25	Treaty United - University College Dublin	4:0 ✺
09.05.25	Kerry - Treaty United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
18.04.25	Treaty United - Dundalk	1:1
07.03.25	Dundalk - Treaty United	2:2
Irish FAI Cup
25.07.21	Treaty United - Dundalk	0:1 ET

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