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Current Win Probability
Drogheda United 49.9%
Draw 25.9%
Waterford 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
24.9%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
24.2%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Drogheda United's form might have worsened.
Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waterford's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Drogheda United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waterford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Drogheda United - Waterford Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Drogheda United will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Talley F. (G) 2. Agbaje E. 5. Burney L. 4. Quinn A. 3. Kane C. 8. O'Brien E. 19. Brennan R. (C) 17. Farrell S. 10. Kavanagh B. 14. Doyle M. 11. Oluwa T.
1. McMullan S. (G) 19. Glenfield S. 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 13. Long K. 3. Couto B. 10. Noonan C. 27. McMenamy D. 4. Johnson W. 18. Lonergan T. 9. Amond P. (C)
Substitutes
29. Brennan J. 7. Bucknor J. 1. Dennison L. (G) 34. Donnelly C. 6. Godden J. 15. Kareem D. 32. Mare D. 33. McGrath S. 30. O'Connor C.
6. Barrett C. 42. Cala O. 7. Carty C. 11. Coyle T. 21. Doherty A. (G) 17. Faria J. 25. Healy J. (G) 22. Mansfield R. 20. Voilas J.
Coaches
Doherty K.
Coughlan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Lonergan T. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Long K. ⚽, Noonan C. (A),
27', 1 - 2, Doyle M. ⚽, Kavanagh B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Couto B. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Farrell S. ⚽,
67', Oluwa T. ↓, Godden J. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Brennan R. ⚽,
76', Godden J. 🟨,
77', Doyle M. 🟨,
83', Mahon J. 🟨,
83', Burney L. 🟨,
83', Noonan C. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
83', O'Brien E. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,
84', Glenfield S. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Couto B. ⚽,
89', Johnson W. 🟨,
90+2', Farrell S. 🟨,
90+3', Brennan R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 1.
Drogheda United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Waterford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Drogheda United is the team to beat.
There will not play in Drogheda United: Bosakani B.
(Inactive)
Brady S.
(Inactive)
Lambe O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
Heeney L.
(Yellow Cards)
McLaughlin E.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Drogheda United: Bucknor J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).
Ireland
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Talley F. (G) 
Agbaje E. 
Burney L. 
McMullan S. (G) 
Couto B. 
Godden J. 
Kareem D. 
Faria J. 
Voilas J. 
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