Match Info

Premiership - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)


	Dundee		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.95	2.15
	2.9	3.2	2.4
	3.35	3.05	2.22	Watch
	3.5	3.18	2.21	Watch
	3.4	3	2.15
	3.68	3.07	2.25	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.01)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
27.3%

Draw
30.4%

Falkirk
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Dundee - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Falkirk will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Falkirk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dundee (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dundee (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Dundee (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Falkirk (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCracken J. (G) 4. Astley R. 5. Koumetio B. 22. Graham L. 7. Wright D. 20. Congreve C. 48. Hamilton E. (C) 28. Jones C. 17. Yogane T. 21. Dhanda Y. 11. Hay A.	19. Bain S. (G) 2. Adams K. 20. Allan C. 5. Henderson L. 28. Lissah F. 14. Yeats F. 8. Spencer B. (C) 22. Wilson K. 29. Miller C. 24. Williams E. 7. Graham B.
Substitutes
9. Acquah E. 8. Digby P. 6. Donnelly A. 25. Galabov P. 2. Ingram E. 15. Murray S. 13. O'Hara K. (G) 18. Reilly C. 12. Samuels I.	11. Agyeman A. 17. Cartwright H. 25. Edwards R. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 3. McCann L. 10. Nesbitt A. 23. Ross E. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 21. Tait D.
Coaches
Pressley S.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Congreve C. 🟨,
28', Spencer B. 🟨,
45+1', Miller C. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Dhanda Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Congreve C. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
61', Yogane T. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
64', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
66', Wilson K. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
66', Williams E. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
66', Yeats F. ↓, Tait D. ↑,
77', Graham B. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
82', Spencer B. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
87', Murray S. 🟥,
90+2', Jones C. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
90+2', Hay A. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
90+7', Wright D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 3.

Dundee is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Falkirk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Dundee: Astley R. (Injury) Robertson C. (Injury) Westley J. (Injury)

There will not play in Falkirk: Adams K. (Injury) Donaldson C. (Groin Injury) Lang T. (Foot Injury) MacIver R. (Injury) Neilson L. (Ankle Injury) Oliver G. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Falkirk: McCann L. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Dundee - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
20.12.25	Motherwell - Dundee	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Livingston - Dundee	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Dundee - Aberdeen	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Celtic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Dundee - St. Mirren	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLW
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
20.12.25	Kilmarnock - Falkirk	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Falkirk - Hearts	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hibernian - Falkirk	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Falkirk - Motherwell	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Falkirk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
25.10.25	Falkirk - Dundee	2:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.12.22	Falkirk - Dundee	0:3
Scottish League Cup
30.08.22	Dundee - Falkirk	3:0
Scottish Cup
26.01.16	Dundee - Falkirk	3:1
Scottish Football Championship
29.03.14	Dundee - Falkirk	0:1
25.01.14	Falkirk - Dundee	2:0
16.11.13	Dundee - Falkirk	1:1

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