Match Info

Premiership - Round 18

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)


	Motherwell		Dundee

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.35	4.7	8.3	Watch
	1.4	5.08	7.61
	1.38	5	7.71	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.37	4.8	7.75	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)	4.9 ↑ (4.4)	7.7 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
68.7%

Draw
19.1%

Dundee
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.4%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Motherwell - Dundee Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Motherwell will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ward C. (G) 45. Longelo E. 16. McGinn P. 57. Welsh S. 22. Koutroumbis J. 77. Charles-Cook R. 20. Watt E. 21. Just E. 12. Fadinger L. 8. Slattery C. 66. Hendry C.	1. McCracken J. (G) 12. Samuels I. 22. Graham L. 5. Koumetio B. 7. Wright D. 20. Congreve C. 21. Dhanda Y. 10. Robertson F. 28. Jones C. 17. Yogane T. 11. Hay A.
Substitutes
31. Matty Connelly (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 24. Osong D. E. 25. Priestman O. 28. Ross L. 90. Said I. 7. Sparrow T. 9. Stamatelopoulos A. 48. Thomson A.	9. Acquah E. 58. Crombie E. 8. Digby P. 6. Donnelly A. 25. Galabov P. 2. Ingram E. 15. Murray S. 13. O'Hara K. (G) 18. Reilly C.
Coaches
Askou J.	Pressley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Slattery C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Robertson F. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
46', Digby P. 🟨,
58', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Said I. ↑,
58', Koutroumbis J. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
68', Yogane T. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
73', Hendry C. ↓, Stamatelopoulos A. ↑,
74', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
77', Hay A. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Slattery C. ⚽, Watt E. (A),
83', Jones C. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
86', Slattery C. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
86', Longelo E. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.

Motherwell is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dundee has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Motherwell is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Motherwell: Halliday A. (Inactive) Maswanhise T. (International duty) McGhee J. (Thigh Injury) Nicholson S. (Knee Injury) Oxborough A. (Hand Injury) Robinson Z. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stuparevic F. (Knee Injury) Sule E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Dundee: Westley J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Motherwell: Welsh S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dundee: Astley R. (Injury) Robertson C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
13.12.25	Dundee United - Motherwell	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Motherwell - Livingston	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Falkirk - Motherwell	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Motherwell - Hearts	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTTW
- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
13.12.25	Livingston - Dundee	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Dundee - Aberdeen	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Celtic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Dundee - St. Mirren	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Hibernian - Dundee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
13.09.25	Dundee - Motherwell	1:1
03.05.25	Dundee - Motherwell	1:2
26.02.25	Motherwell - Dundee	2:1
04.12.24	Dundee - Motherwell	4:1
19.10.24	Motherwell - Dundee	0:1
06.04.24	Dundee - Motherwell	2:3
02.12.23	Motherwell - Dundee	3:3

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