Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 30

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: Aitken G. (Sco)


	Dundee		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	11	Watch
	1.26	5.5	9.75
	1.25	5.2	10.5
	1.26	5.64	12.41
	1.24	5	11	Watch
	1.25	5.4	11.25	Watch
	1.25	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.46)	5.25 ↑ (3.82)	10.84 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
73.9%

Draw
17.6%

Raith Rovers
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dundee's performance.

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raith Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raith Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Dundee - Raith Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Dundee will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundee won 2.

Dundee is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Raith is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dundee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Raith have a series of home games.

In this match Dundee is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dundee to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Dundee won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
08.04.23	Arbroath - Dundee	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Dundee - Hamilton Academical	7:0 ✺
21.03.23	Dundee - Ayr United	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Partick Thistle - Dundee	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Cove Rangers - Dundee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWTW
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
08.04.23	Inverness - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.03.23	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
18.03.23	Raith Rovers - Cove Rangers	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
08.02.23	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:3 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
06.01.23	Raith Rovers - Dundee	1:1
12.11.22	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:0
06.08.22	Raith Rovers - Dundee	0:1
Scottish Premier League
15.05.21	Dundee - Raith Rovers	0:1
12.05.21	Raith Rovers - Dundee	0:3
Scottish Football Championship
24.04.21	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:1

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