Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 31

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)


	Dundee		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.32	5	7.75
	1.37	4.7	6.75	Watch
	1.32	5.36	9.29
	1.3	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.31	5.1	8.6	Watch
	1.31	4.8	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	4.85 ↑ (4.38)	8.31 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
69.9%

Draw
19%

Hamilton Academical
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Dundee - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundee won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hamilton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamilton have a series of home games.

In this match Dundee is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Dundee won 12 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 35-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
21.03.23	Dundee - Ayr United	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Partick Thistle - Dundee	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Cove Rangers - Dundee	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Dundee - Partick Thistle	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Dundee - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWLT
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.03.23	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
18.03.23	Hamilton Academical - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Hamilton Academical - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	1:4 ✺
21.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
04.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Dundee	1:1
19.11.22	Dundee - Hamilton Academical	1:0
01.10.22	Hamilton Academical - Dundee	0:2
Scottish League Cup
09.07.22	Dundee - Hamilton Academical	3:0
Scottish Premier League
04.05.19	Dundee - Hamilton Academical	0:1
02.02.19	Hamilton Academical - Dundee	1:1
05.12.18	Dundee - Hamilton Academical	4:0

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