Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 29

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)


	Dunfermline Athletic		Edinburgh City

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.32	4.6	7.7
	1.49	4.1	5.2
	1.37	4.89	7.75
	1.38	4.2	7.5
	1.37	4.75	7.4	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.61)	4.43 ↑ (4.02)	6.78 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
65.8%

Draw
20.7%

Edinburgh City
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.7%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunfermline Athletic's performance.

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edinburgh City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunfermline Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edinburgh City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Dunfermline Athletic - Edinburgh City Predictions

Users Predictions: Dunfermline Athletic will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dunfermline in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Edinburgh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Edinburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dunfermline is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dunfermline to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunfermline won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League One
07.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Alloa Athletic	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTW
- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League One
11.03.23	Edinburgh City - Alloa Athletic	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Edinburgh City - Clyde	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Montrose - Edinburgh City	3:3 ✺
04.02.23	Queen of the South - Edinburgh City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.01.23	Edinburgh City - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1
15.10.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Edinburgh City	1:0
06.08.22	Edinburgh City - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3
Scottish League Cup
20.07.19	Edinburgh City - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0

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