Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Graham C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	ParsTV Dunfermline


	Dunfermline Athletic		Livingston

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.60
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.48	3.35	2.65	Watch
	2.43	3.45	3.02
	2.52	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.40	3.20	2.95
	2.43	3.60	2.75
	2.36	3.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.42)	2.75 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
38.8%

Draw
27.4%

Livingston
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxborough A. (G) 24. Lobban D. 15. Cleall-Harding S. 6. Abdulai N. 47. Fraser R. (C) 22. Bray K. 14. Amade A. 33. Cooper J. 16. MacLeod R. 99. Adams O. 26. Tod A.	28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 8. Pittman S. 20. Danso E. 16. Palmer C. 27. Carey G. 9. Muirhead R. 19. van Hoeven B.
Substitutes
18. Corbally K. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 25. Donnelly A. 8. Gilmour C. 11. Kearney S. 7. Morrison C. 10. Shaw O. 17. Thomas O. 3. Tod J.	25. Anderson B. 30. Blaney S. 6. Denholm A. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 21. Iseni B. 17. May S. 10. Nicholson S. 39. Polworth L. 7. Sinclair T.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Tod A. 🟨,
11', Danso E. 🟨,
43', van Hoeven B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', van Hoeven B. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
59', Carey G. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
64', Pittman S. 🟨,
66', Cooper J. ↓, Shaw O. ↑,
66', MacLeod R. ↓, Corbally K. ↑,
78', Bray K. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
78', Adams O. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
78', Palmer C. ↓, Denholm A. ↑,
81', Cleall-Harding S. ↓, Donnelly A. ↑,
82', Sinclair T. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th and 4th in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Dunfermline has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:15 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dunfermline against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dunfermline	12	5	6	1	10:6	4	21
6	Livingston	12	5	2	5	15:11	4	17

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 14.11% Dunfermline: 9.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Dunfermline Athletic - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
19.09.26	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWT
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Livingston - Ayr United	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
22.08.26	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
02.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	1:0
15.02.25	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
29.10.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	3:0
03.08.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
Scottish League Cup
20.07.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0

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