Match Info

Championship - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
United-kingdom	parstv.co.uk
Usa	Pars TV


	Dunfermline Athletic		Livingston

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.75	3.25	2.01	Watch
	3.74	3.17	2.06
	4.06	3.25	1.96	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2
	3.91	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.74)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
24.4%

Draw
28.7%

Livingston
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.5%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

28.3%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Livingston will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Oluwayemi T. (G) 16. Fogarty T. 4. Benedictus K. (C) 48. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 2. Comrie A. 8. Chalmers J. 22. Clay C. 6. Otoo E. 10. Todd M. 20. Kane Ch. 11. McCann L.	28. Prior J. (G) 19. Finlayson D. 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 25. Tait M. 12. Brandon J. (C) 10. Kelly S. 23. Muirhead R. 17. May S. 9. Yengi T.
Substitutes
33. Cooper J. 5. Hamilton C. 37. Hampson O. 1. Mehmet D. (G) 14. Stevens A. 45. Taylor-Clarke O. 26. Tod A. 34. Yeboah E.	3. Clarke M. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 6. McAlear R. 26. Montano C. 21. Nottingham M. 8. Pittman S. 22. Shinnie A. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Otoo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', May S. ↓, Nottingham M. ↑,
46', Tait M. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
55', Brandon J. 🟨,
58', Clay C. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
59', Fraser R. ↓, Montano C. ↑,
63', Todd M. ↓, Stevens A. ↑,
63', Brandon J. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
73', Muirhead R. 🟨,
74', Kane Ch. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
79', Prior J. 🟨,
80', Yeboah E. 🟨,
82', Montano C. 🟨,
84', Otoo E. 🟨,
90+2', McCann L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 1.

Dunfermline is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Livingston is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Livingston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dunfermline have a series of guest games.

Livingston will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Dunfermline won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:13 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Dunfermline won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
29.03.25	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Falkirk - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Livingston FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
30.03.25	Queens Park - Livingston	0:5 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
25.03.25	Livingston - Falkirk	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Airdrieonians - Livingston	3:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.03.25	Livingston - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
05.03.25	Livingston - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
15.02.25	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
29.10.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	3:0
03.08.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
Scottish League Cup
20.07.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
03.04.18	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	1:0
10.02.18	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0

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