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Current Win Probability
Dunfermline Athletic 64.1%
Draw 21.8%
Queens Park 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
22.6%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
21.4%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunfermline Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oxborough A. (G) 24. Lobban D. 15. Cleall-Harding S. 6. Abdulai N. 47. Fraser R. (C) 19. Oyirwoth A. 14. Amade A. 33. Cooper J. 16. MacLeod R. 99. Adams O. 26. Tod A.
30. Wills J. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 4. Murray E. (C) 5. Lamie R. 14. Stewart L. 8. Martin S. 7. Longridge L. 11. Connolly A. 21. McLean R. 9. Ruth M. 77. Todorov N.
Substitutes
22. Bray K. 18. Corbally K. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 25. Donnelly A. 8. Gilmour C. 20. Kane Ch. 11. Kearney S. 5. Robinson L. 9. Rudden Z.
26. Brannan B. 16. Fisher O. 10. Hamilton J. 25. Lawson Z. 2. Mauchin Z. 24. McCallion A. 17. McDonnell T. 1. Mitchell D. (G) 27. Smith C.
Coaches
Lennon N.
Crighton S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Cooper J. ⚽, Lobban D. (A),
18', Todorov N. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, MacLeod R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Todorov N. ↓, McDonnell T. ↑,
46', Longridge L. ↓, McCallion A. ↑,
49', Martin S. 🟨,
58', MacLeod R. 🟨,
61', Amade A. 🟨,
70', Adams O. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
70', Oyirwoth A. ↓, Corbally K. ↑,
70', Amade A. ↓, Gilmour C. ↑,
72', Tod A. 🟨,
72', Martin S. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
73', Ruth M. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
79', Stewart L. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
82', MacLeod R. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,
82', Cooper J. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
84', Cleall-Harding S. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 3.
Dunfermline has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Queens Park has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Queens Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Dunfermline is the obvious favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.5:0.9).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
United-kingdom
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Oxborough A. (G) 
Lobban D. 
Abdulai N. 
Oyirwoth A. 
Amade A. 
Adams O. 
Todorov N. 
Corbally K. 
Dibaga M. (G) 
Donnelly A. 
