The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dunfermline Athletic 43.1%
Draw 28%
Ross County 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28.7%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
30.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Dunfermline Athletic - Ross County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Oxborough A. (G) 3. Tod J. 25. Donnelly A. 5. Robinson L. 11. Kearney S. 14. Amade A. 8. Gilmour C. (C) 47. Fraser R. 26. Tod A. 10. Shaw O. 20. Kane Ch.
1. Foster B. (G) 6. Randall C. 4. Wright A. 5. Reid L. 3. Strapp L. 23. Docherty R. 19. McCarvel L. 20. Turner J. 10. Lindsay J. 22. Emslie A. 9. Graham B. (C)
Substitutes
18. Abdulai N. 28. Adams O. 22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 16. Lobban D. 7. Morrison C. 38. Oyirwoth A. 9. Rudden Z.
7. Chin R. 8. Cornelius D. 35. Forrester A. 24. Jamieson L. 18. MacLeod A. 11. Phillips K. 43. Reid J. 31. Wade B. (G) 28. Williamson J.
Coaches
Lennon N.
Kettlewell S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kane Ch. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
49', Tod J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Lindsay J. ⚽, Turner J. (A),
59', Gilmour C. ↓, Oyirwoth A. ↑,
59', Robinson L. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
59', Kearney S. ↓, Lobban D. ↑,
60', Reid L. 🟨,
71', Lindsay J. 🟨,
71', McCarvel L. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
71', Turner J. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Oyirwoth A. ⚽, Amade A. (A),
79', Docherty R. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
80', Reid L. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Chin R. ⚽, Graham B. (A),
86', Shaw O. ↓, Adams O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 1.
Dunfermline is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ross County is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Dunfermline could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Ross County - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.34%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.