Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dungannon Swifts		Linfield

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.50	1.95
	3.35	3.4	1.98
	3.14	3.65	2.21
	3.32	3.53	1.99	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.16
	3.03	3.54	2.19
	3.3	3.45	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.58)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	2.06 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
28.8%

Draw
26.3%

Linfield
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.5%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Dungannon Swifts - Linfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 10. Dillon K. 21. Doyle P. 17. Glackin J. 16. Gordon S. 6. Kelly T. 67. McAllister S. 5. McKeown B. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 3. Scott J. 23. Wallace D.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 10. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 7. Millar K. 30. Moore K. 14. Nelson K. 5. Shields C.
Substitutes
13. Alves L. 12. Henderson A. (G) 24. Johnston J. 15. Lowe K. 2. McGinty C. 9. Mitchell A. 7. Smith C.	36. Annett R. 19. Brennan R. 24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 18. Glavin A. (G) 9. Offord K. 16. Wells D.
Coaches
McAree R.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Baird I. 🟨,
32', Glackin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Scott J. 🟨,
49', Millar K. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
65', Nelson K. ↓, Offord K. ↑,
65', Moore K. ↓, Brennan R. ↑,
69', Hall B. 🟨,
73', McAllister S. 🟨,
76', Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
76', McAllister S. ↓, Alves L. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, McClean K. ⚽,
84', Glackin J. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
84', Gordon S. ↓, Lowe K. ↑,
90+1', Doyle P. ↓, McGinty C. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Linfield has had a series of home games.

Linfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 15:67. (average 0.8:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:28. (average 0.7:3.1).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 25.98% Dungannon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12:6	6	22
7	Dungannon	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Dungannon Swifts - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.67%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
05.09.26	Limavady United - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Dungannon Swifts - Bangor	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Dungannon Swifts - Coleraine	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWL
- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
05.09.26	Linfield - Carrick Rangers	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Limavady United - Linfield	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Linfield - Glentoran	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
12.05.26	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:1
07.04.26	Dungannon Swifts - Linfield	1:3
17.02.26	Dungannon Swifts - Linfield	1:4
10.02.26	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	6:0
10.08.25	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:0
12.04.25	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	2:0
24.03.25	Dungannon Swifts - Linfield	0:3

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