Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Sedan

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.75	3.35	4.2
	1.9	3.25	3.9
	1.89	3.4	4.46
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.89	3.15	4.15	Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	4.12 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
49.4%

Draw
28.4%

Sedan
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	35.7%	7.1%

Dunkerque - Sedan Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Sedan will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Dunkerque is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
12.10.22	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Dunkerque - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
26.09.22	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Dunkerque - Cholet	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Versailles - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL
- Sedan
French Ligue 3
12.10.22	Sedan - Orleans	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Sedan	1:3 ✺
23.09.22	Sedan - Le Puy	0:0 ✺
16.09.22	Martigues - Sedan	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Sedan - Avranches	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.02.17	Sedan - Dunkerque	1:2
09.09.16	Dunkerque - Sedan	2:0
04.03.16	Dunkerque - Sedan	0:2
18.09.15	Sedan - Dunkerque	3:1

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