Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Durango		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.23	4.12
	2.06	3.12	3.56	Watch
	1.88	3.38	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)	3.21 ↑ (3.13)	3.94 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
48%

Draw
28.7%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).

Durango has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aurrerá de Vitoria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Durango could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
10	Durango	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.02.26	Leioa - Durango	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Durango - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Añorga - Durango	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Durango - Zarautz KE	4:2 ✺
24.01.26	Durango - Aretxabaleta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWT
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Aretxabaleta	5:1 ✺
15.02.26	Zamudio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Pasaia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	0:0
11.03.23	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	1:1
05.11.22	Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.01.18	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	2:3

Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide