Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Durango

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.29	2.97	2.13
	3.29	2.87	2.13
	3.91	2.6	2.17
	3.2	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.27)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
27%

Draw
30.7%

Durango
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

30.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

29.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Aurrerá Ondarroa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Durango is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Durango will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.11.23	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Pasaia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Padura	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Touring KE - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTL
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.11.23	Durango - Basconia	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Añorga - Durango	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Durango - Alavés C	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Deusto - Durango	3:1 ✺
12.10.23	Durango - Leioa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.03.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:2
29.10.22	Durango - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:2
23.04.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:0
12.12.21	Durango - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide