Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 20

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Maiden Castle (Durham)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	WSL 2


	Durham		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.65	1.65
	4.18	4	1.66
	4.26	3.93	1.67	Watch
	4	3.6	1.65
	4.21	4.1	1.7
	5	3.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (5)	3.86 ↑ (3.85)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durham
21.1%

Draw
23.6%

Bristol City
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.5%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

20.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Durham - Bristol City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Sheppard C. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. (C) 15. Bradley D. 3. Briggs L. 20. Foster M. 21. Stobbs A. 8. Lambert M. 7. Hepple B. 10. Blake H. 9. Watson L.	1. Bentley F. (G) 2. Powell E. 3. Lawley G. 15. Wos O. 14. Ward M. 16. Syme E. (C) 5. Ingle S. 7. Robinson K. 10. Lloyd-Smith L. 19. Farrugia M. 9. Hardy R.
Substitutes
48. Collinson G. 46. Coulson L. 16. Ede G. 27. Jones A. 13. King A. (G) 25. McFarland L. 6. Robson S. 17. Speckmaier M. 4. Toland T.	41. Bennett H. 22. Brzykcy L. (G) 25. Burns J. (G) 33. Gale J. 23. Jones V. 20. Morgan E. 24. Saez C. 4. Struck C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Blake H. ⚽, Watson L. (A),
23', Robinson K. 🟨,
31', Watson L. ↓, Speckmaier M. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Lawley G. ⚽, Syme E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Ward M. ⚽, Syme E. (A),
65', Robinson K. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
65', Farrugia M. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
76', Blake H. ↓, Collinson G. ↑,
81', Stobbs A. ↓, Robson S. ↑,
87', Ward M. ↓, Bennett H. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Hepple B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Ingle S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durham won 1.

Durham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bristol City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Durham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Durham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bristol City W	5	2	1	2	8:7	1	7
12	Durham W	5	0	0	5	5:16	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durham WFC
English WSL 2
29.03.26	Nottingham Forest - Durham	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Durham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ipswich Town - Durham	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Durham - Sunderland	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Durham	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- Bristol City WFC
English WSL 2
29.03.26	Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Portsmouth - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
22.02.26	Arsenal LFC - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
English WSL 2
15.02.26	Bristol City - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
05.10.25	Bristol City - Durham	2:1
04.05.25	Durham - Bristol City	2:0
15.12.24	Bristol City - Durham	5:0
04.12.22	Durham - Bristol City	1:1
13.02.22	Durham - Bristol City	0:3
26.09.21	Bristol City - Durham	0:2

Durham - Bristol City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide