Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Dynamo Bryansk		Fakel

	1	X	2
	7	3.75	1.5
	6.25	3.6	1.55
	6.75	3.35	1.48
	6.2	3.4	1.5
	7.88	3.56	1.56
	7.5	3.5	1.5
	7.2	3.58	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.97 ↓ (9.3)	3.53 ↓ (4.2)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Bryansk
13.2%

Draw
26%

Fakel
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

22.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.4%

18.5%

80.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Bryansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo Bryansk - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Dynamo Bryansk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fakel is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Fakel is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Fakel is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dynamo Bryansk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Bryansk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Dynamo Bryansk	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Krylya Sovetov	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
10.03.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Dynamo Bryansk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Fakel - Irtysh Omsk	3:1 ✺
20.03.21	Tom Tomsk - Fakel	0:3 ✺
14.03.21	Fakel - Chertanovo	4:1 ✺
10.03.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Fakel	1:2 ✺
06.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
04.10.20	Fakel - Dynamo Bryansk	0:0
Russian PFL Center
17.10.14	Fakel - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0
18.07.14	Dynamo Bryansk - Fakel	1:3

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