Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Magdeburg		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3.25
	2.08	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.9	3.1
	2.08	3.9	3.17	Watch
	2.2	3.8	3
	2.18	3.76	3.05	Watch
	2.17	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	3.75 ↑ (3.61)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
44.1%

Draw
25.2%

Holstein Kiel
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 28. Nadjombe P. 5. Muller T. 3. Garcia MacNulty A. 17. Nollenberger A. 38. Hyrylainen L. 10. Kwarteng M. 21. Michel F. 8. Iyoha E. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.	1. Weiner T. (G) 32. Sekine H. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 47. Tolkin J. 28. Meffert J. (C) 20. Kapralik A. 8. Balzi G. 15. Davidsen K. 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
35. Baars M. 11. Chavez F. 4. Dzogovic E. 6. Jaeckel P. 30. Kruth N. (G) 33. Mergner L. 26. Musel T. 9. Simic R. 29. Tachie R.	17. Alidou F. 11. de Regt G. 5. Madsen N. 48. Muqaj H. 40. Parduzi L. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 3. Takahashi N. 30. Tasdelen T. 27. Ugoh I.
Coaches
Sander P.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
20', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
28', Atik B. 🟨,
31', Nadjombe P. 🟨,
44', Davidsen K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nadjombe P. ↓, Musel T. ↑,
47', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
54', Meffert J. 🟨,
64', Muller T. 🟨,
64', Davidsen K. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Zukowski M. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
75', Kwarteng M. ↓, Baars M. ↑,
79', Tolkin J. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Hyrylainen L. ⚽, Nollenberger A. (A),
84', Nekic I. 🟨,
85', Meffert J. ↓, Alidou F. ↑,
86', Nollenberger A. ↓, Dzogovic E. ↑,
90+2', Zukowski M. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
90+2', Atik B. ↓, Simic R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3.

Magdeburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holstein Kiel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.

Magdeburg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Musonda L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Abe T. (Back Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Kvilitaia G. (Muscle Injury) Rosenboom L. (Knee Injury) Roslyng F. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Inactive) Skrzybski S. (Leg Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2% Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Bahlinger - Magdeburg	0:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:6 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Magdeburg - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Chemie Leipzig - Magdeburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLTW
- Holstein Kiel
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	1860 München - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	1:3
13.12.25	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	3:3
02.02.24	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	1:1
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	3:4 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
20.08.23	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	2:4
11.02.23	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	2:3
07.08.22	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	1:2

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