Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 30

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Dynamo Dresden		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.5
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.8	3.89	4.93
	1.74	3.89	4.94
	1.67	3.6	4.33
	1.71	3.7	4.49	Watch
	1.73	3.55	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	4.59 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
53.9%

Draw
25.6%

Ulm 1846
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

27.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	2.8%	13.9%

Dynamo Dresden - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Broll K. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 31. Lewald J. 39. Ehlers K. 2. Park K. 28. Will P. 27. Hauptmann N. 5. Arslan A. 10. Lemmer J. 30. Kutschke S. (C) 22. Zimmerschied T.	39. Ortag C. (G) 4. Gaal T. 5. Reichert J. 32. Strompf P. 7. Allgeier B. 26. Maier P. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 33. Higl F. 22. Scienza L.
Substitutes
29. Borkowski D. 23. Bunning L. 11. Cueto L. 40. Herrmann E. (G) 19. Herrmann L. 33. Kraulich T. 8. Meier J. 21. Meissner R. 25. Oehmichen J.	8. Ahrend L. 6. Geyer T. 21. Jann N. 24. Kastanaras T. 10. Ludwig A. 1. Otto L. (G) 9. Roser L. 18. Stoll L. 25. Yarbrough L.
Coaches
Anfang M.	Worle T.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Recent matches Dynamo Dresden is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ulm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.24	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Hallescher - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Dynamo Dresden - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.24	Dynamo Dresden - Viktoria Žižkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLW
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
10.03.24	Ulm 1846 - Sandhausen	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	1860 München - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Ulm 1846 - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.23	Ulm 1846 - Dynamo Dresden	2:3

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