Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion MKS Cracovia (Kraków)

Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Dynamo Kyiv		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.75
	1.73	3.75	4.6
	1.78	3.75	4.8
	1.78	3.75	4.6
	1.79	3.79	4.85
	1.78	3.6	4.6
	1.79	3.8	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.64)	3.74 ↓ (4.09)	4.7 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 4

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
54.1%

Draw
25.6%

AEK Larnaca
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

25.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	15.3%	18.1%

Dynamo Kyiv - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 48 - 66.7%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 13 - 18.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 15.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo: 55.8% – 77.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Dynamo has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a chance of 3rd (48%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AEK Larnaca has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (7%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 48, importance 46, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dynamo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AEK Larnaca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of home games.

In this match Dynamo is a favorite.

There will not play in Dynamo: Bushchan G. (Knee Injury) Kostevych V. (Injury) Popov D. (Shoulder Injury) Shaparenko M. (Knee Injury) Supryaga V. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Gama B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo: Kulach V. (Foot Injury) Neshcheret R. (Injury)

There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Paraskevas A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Lviv	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Fenerbahçe - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.09.22	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	3:2 ✺
28.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.08.22	Benfica - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
11.09.22	AEK Larnaca - Nea Salamis	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	AEK Larnaca - Rennes	1:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
03.09.22	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
29.08.22	AEK Larnaca - Doxa Katokopias	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	AEK Larnaca - Dnipro-1	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTW

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