Match Info

Date: 15 September 2020, Tuesday


	Dynamo Kyiv		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.4	2.37
	2.85	3.5	2.4
	2.7	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.36
	2.8	3.52	2.47
	2.62	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.52	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.15)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.44 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
34.1%

Draw
27.3%

AZ Alkmaar
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

21.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	9.8%	25.9%

Dynamo Kyiv - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 112 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 72 - 64.3%). AZ will win (votes: 29 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo: 55.4% – 73.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Dynamo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches AZ is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently AZ have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.20	Dynamo Kyiv - Desna Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Super Cup
25.08.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.08.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:4 ✺
19.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
16.07.20	Dynamo Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLW
- AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendly
03.09.20	AZ Alkmaar - Gent	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.20	AZ Alkmaar - Viktoria Plzeň	3:1 ET ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.20	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	Canceled ✺
15.08.20	AZ Alkmaar - Monaco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLW?L

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