Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	ADO Den Haag		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.53	Watch
	4.75	4.75	1.6
	5	4.75	1.56	Watch
	5.4	3.8	1.59
	5.16	4.93	1.57
	5.5	4.33	1.55	Watch
	5.35	4.5	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.43)	4.44 ↑ (4.02)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
18.1%

Draw
21.4%

AZ Alkmaar
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.7%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

20.7%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Den Haag has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AZ has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Den Haag is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AZ is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 14-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Haag won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Feyenoord - ADO Den Haag	4:2 ✺
20.09.20	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	0:1 ✺
13.09.20	Heracles Almelo - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL
- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Napoli - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.10.20	AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
04.10.20	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	4:4 ✺
26.09.20	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	3:3 ✺
19.09.20	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.08.20	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
07.03.20	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	4:0
22.09.19	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	0:1
13.04.19	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	2:3
11.11.18	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	0:1
31.03.18	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
19.08.17	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	2:0

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