Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	AZ Alkmaar		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.32	5.4	9.2
	1.34	5.9	8.47
	1.31	5.81	8.36	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.36	5.36	9.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	5.5 ↑ (5.14)	8.87 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
72%

Draw
17.3%

Fortuna Sittard
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

17.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	35.7%	21.4%

AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - AZ (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - AZ (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - AZ (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - AZ (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zoet J. (G) 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 23. van Duijl B. 30. Kasius D. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 26. Smit K. 22. Dijkstra E. 7. Weslley Patati 35. Meerdink M. 17. Jensen I.	1. Koopmans L. (G) 21. Kasanwirjo N. 44. Marquez I. (C) 4. Adewoye S. 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 5. Oukili Y. 18. Limnios D. 9. Sierhuis K. 70. Duijvestijn L. 19. Gladon P.
Substitutes
20. Boogaard K. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. 31. Deen D. (G) 4. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 2. Maikuma S. 24. Oufkir A. 9. Parrott T. 11. Sadiq I. 33. Sin M. 12. Verhulst H. (G)	22. Bastien S. 45. Johnson O. 36. Korkmazyurek H. 25. Martens N. (G) 7. Peterson K. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 77. Tunjic L. 6. van Ottele S. 48. van Parys L. (G)
Coaches
Echteld L.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Kasius D. (A),
45+1', Marquez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marquez I. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
46', Sierhuis K. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
54', Oukili Y. 🟨,
69', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
71', Meerdink M. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
72', Weslley Patati ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
75', Limnios D. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
77', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
77', Dijkstra E. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
77', Jensen I. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
84', Kasius D. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
84', Brittijn P. ↓, Johnson O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, AZ is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in AZ: Chavez Garcia M. (Injury) Clasie J. (Ankle Injury) Goes W. (Injury) Maikuma S. (Injury) Owusu-Oduro R. (Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Branderhorst M. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Inactive) Lonwijk J. (Muscle Injury) Marsman N. (Inactive) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Ihattaren M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AZ won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:16. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:4. (average 2.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
6	Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
07.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
21.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	4:3
23.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	1:0
06.10.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	1:0
17.02.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	1:2
01.10.23	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	4:0
16.04.23	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
22.01.23	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	3:1

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