Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 11
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Dynamo Kyiv		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	3.1
	2.02	3.7	3.2
	2.08	3.8	3.28
	2.19	3.86	3.18	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.16	3.76	3.31
	2.1	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.83)	3.73 (3.73)	3.2 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
45%

Draw
25.4%

Noah Yerevan
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noah Yerevan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noah Yerevan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	9.8%	7.3%

Dynamo Kyiv - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Dynamo Kyiv will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Kyiv will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Neshcheret R. (G) 18. Tymchyk O. 34. Zakharchenko V. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 8. Pikhalyonok O. (C) 91. Mykhaylenko M. 10. Shaparenko M. 9. Voloshyn N. 99. Ponomarenko M. 22. Kabaev V.	22. Cancarevic O. (C) 39. Saintini N. 37. Silva G. 33. Sualehe D. 6. Boakye E. 7. Ferreira H. 14. Oshima T. 4. Thorarinsson G. 47. Jakolis M. 9. Matheus Aias 32. Mulahusejnovic N.
Substitutes
14. Burtnyk V. 39. Guerrero E. 74. Ignatenko D. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 51. Morgun V. (G) 16. Ogundana S. 28. Osypenko K. 70. Redushko B. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 2. Vivcharenko K. 7. Yarmolenko A. 5. Yatsyk O.	18. Avanesyan A. 10. Dashyan A. 88. Eteki Y. 77. Grgic A. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 99. Harutyunyan H. 27. Manvelyan G. 3. Muradyan S. 48. Tovmasyan K. (G)
Coaches
Kostyuk I.	Perkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Tymchyk O. ↓, Karavaev O. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Kabaev V. ⚽, Voloshyn N. (A),
45+1', Jakolis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Ponomarenko M. ⚽, Dubinchak V. (A),
52', Kabaev V. 🟨,
54', Mykhavko T. 🟨,
64', Shaparenko M. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
64', Kabaev V. ↓, Redushko B. ↑,
66', Silva G. ↓, Muradyan S. ↑,
66', Jakolis M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
67', Ponomarenko M. 🟨,
70', Muradyan S. 🟨,
75', Voloshyn N. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
75', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Rubchynskyi V. ↑,
80', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Eteki Y. ↑,
88', Boakye E. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
88', Matheus Aias ↓, Avanesyan A. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Motor Lublin Arena.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Noah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dynamo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo: Brazhko V. (Ribs Injury) Buyalskyy V. (Knock) Popov D. (Muscle Injury) Thiare A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Noah: Fayulu T. (International duty) Gregorio G. (Knee Injury) Harutyunyan H. (Inactive) Sangare G. (International duty) Zolotic N. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
14.12.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Veres Rivne	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	Kudrivka - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Poltava	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Omonia - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- FC Noah Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
06.12.25	Noah Yerevan - BKMA Yerevan	2:3 ✺
02.12.25	Van - Noah Yerevan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Aberdeen - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
22.11.25	Noah Yerevan - Alashkert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTTT

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