Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, SuperSport Football Plus
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 12
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Fiorentina		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	6.5
	1.39	4.95	6.9
	1.39	5.13	7.73
	1.44	5.03	7.37	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.5
	1.45	4.92	7.22
	1.38	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.41)	4.95 ↑ (4.51)	7.03 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
67.4%

Draw
19.2%

Dynamo Kyiv
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Dynamo Kyiv aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Dynamo will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fiorentina (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 26. Viti M. 2. Dodo 24. Richardson A. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 27. Ndour C. 29. Fortini N. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 20. Kean M.	35. Neshcheret R. (G) 18. Tymchyk O. 34. Zakharchenko V. 66. Thiare A. 44. Dubinchak V. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 10. Shaparenko M. (C) 9. Voloshyn N. 39. Guerrero E. 22. Kabaev V.
Substitutes
10. Gudmundsson A. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 99. Kouame C. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 8. Mandragora R. 18. Mari P. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 65. Parisi F. 91. Piccoli R. 6. Ranieri L. 7. Sohm S.	77. Blanuta V. 14. Burtnyk V. 74. Ignatenko D. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 51. Morgun V. (G) 32. Mykhavko T. 16. Ogundana S. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 2. Vivcharenko K. 7. Yarmolenko A. 5. Yatsyk O.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Kostyuk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
44', Ndour C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Mykhaylenko M. ⚽, Pikhalyonok O. (A),
67', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
67', Viti M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
67', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
71', Dubinchak V. ↓, Vivcharenko K. ↑,
71', Guerrero E. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Gudmundsson A. ⚽,
77', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
77', Kabaev V. ↓, Ogundana S. ↑,
80', Ndour C. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
83', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
86', Thiare A. 🟨,
86', Dodo ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
90', Vivcharenko K. 🟨,
90+3', Kouadio E. 🟨,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Fiorentina is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo: Bilovar K. (Muscle Injury) Brazhko V. (Inactive) Yarmolenko A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Fiorentina - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	Kudrivka - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Poltava	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Omonia - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
23.04.15	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0
16.04.15	Dynamo Kyiv - Fiorentina	1:1

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