Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Passo d'Areia (Porto Alegre)


	EC São José Porto Alegre		EC Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.47	6.49
	1.55	3.53	6.19
	1.6	3.3	6
	1.58	3.54	5.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	6.03 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
58.2%

Draw
26.6%

EC Pelotas
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

27%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

26.3%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Gabriel Terra 7. Giovane Gomez 6. Jadson 8. Jhonata Varela 5. Lucas Hulk 11. Marcos Vinicius 2. Neko 4. Rafael Dumas 3. Tiago Pedra	1. Jorge (G) 6. Bryan 10. Cesinha 2. Guilherme Gusso 18. Leo Ferraz 9. Michel Douglas 11. Ruster 8. Venicio 3. Victor Massaia 5. Vitinho 4. Yuri Bigode (C)
Substitutes
22. Diniz K. 20. Ghiven 15. Gustavo Bagatini 19. Kayan 16. Lailson 17. Maicon Assis 14. Marco Freitas 21. Marquinhos 33. Pablo (G) 12. Peralta A. (G) 18. Rene 13. Thiago	12. Ari (G) 16. Bruno Martins 21. Duda 17. Emerson Brito 13. Heverton 15. Jacone 20. Luizinho 7. Marcelinho 23. Murilo (G) 14. Tiago Troleze 19. Xandy

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Cesinha ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Leo Ferraz ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Gabriel Terra ⚽,
25', Neko ↓, Rene ↑,
34', Bryan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Michel Douglas 🟨,
59', Jhonata Varela 🟨,
61', Rafael Dumas ↓, Lailson ↑,
61', Lucas Hulk ↓, Gustavo Bagatini ↑,
66', Ruster ↓, Xandy ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Fabio Rampi (Pen),
78', Xandy 🟨,
78', 🟨,
80', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Maicon Assis ↑,
82', Vitinho ↓, Jacone ↑,
83', Michel Douglas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
86', Jadson 🟨,
88', Bryan 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

EC São José could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match EC São José is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches EC São José won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams EC São José won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.02.25	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:1 ✺
06.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLTL
- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.02.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude	2:3 ✺
11.02.25	Grêmio - EC Pelotas	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	São Luiz - EC Pelotas	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.01.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	1:1
19.04.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas	1:1

EC São José Porto Alegre - EC Pelotas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide