Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.7
	2.6	2.8	2.75
	2.49	2.95	2.7
	2.66	2.93	2.88
	2.5	2.7	2.75
	2.62	2.89	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	2.77 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
35.6%

Draw
31.6%

Paysandu
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	83.3%	8.3%

EC São José Porto Alegre - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. EC São José will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Recent matches EC São José Porto Alegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches EC São José Porto Alegre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams EC São José Porto Alegre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
07.05.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Remo - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:2 ✺
16.04.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Volta Redonda	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Botafogo PB - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
08.05.22	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	4:1 ✺
30.04.22	Paysandu - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
25.04.22	Mirassol - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	ABC - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Paysandu - Atlético Cearense	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
03.08.19	EC São José Porto Alegre - Paysandu	1:1
02.06.19	Paysandu - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

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