Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Referee: Martins Lopes W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.5	6
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.52	3.71	7.33
	1.53	3.65	6.21
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.5	3.64	6.43	Watch
	1.51	3.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	3.6 ↑ (3.35)	6.38 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
60.5%

Draw
25.3%

EC São José Porto Alegre
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Botafogo PB - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (C) 10. Bruno Leite 8. Edmundo 22. Erick 32. Evandro 15. Gama 29. Jo 19. Joaozinho 33. Lucas Balardin 14. Renie 16. Warley	1. Fabio Rampi (G) 18. Alessandro Vinicius 3. Fredson 6. Lailson 11. Marcio Jonatan 17. Nonato 7. Palacio A. 14. Rafael Carillho 9. Rene Sousa 2. Samuel 4. Tiago Pedra
Substitutes
12. Caio (G) 17. Gabriel Lima 25. Gustavo Poffo 2. Lenon 28. Matheus Santos 30. Mosquito 27. Paulinho 23. Pedro Ivo 6. Rafael Furlan 26. Sillas 21. Vinicius Leite 7. Will	5. Carlos Alexandre 8. Diogo Sodre 16. Edinho 15. Emerson Brito 19. Gabriel Morbeck 21. Jean Lucca 20. Marcos Calazans 22. Matheuzinho 12. Peralta A. (G) 13. Thiago Tinoco
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Zimermann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Erick 🟨,
6', Evandro 🟨,
17', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
21', Gama 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Rene Sousa ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Joaozinho ⚽,
43', Edmundo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Erick ↓, Lenon ↑,
46', Edmundo ↓, Sillas ↑,
46', Warley ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
53', Palacio A. 🟨,
57', Marcio Jonatan 🟨,
59', Palacio A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
72', Alessandro Vinicius ↓, Thiago Tinoco ↑,
79', Joaozinho ↓, Paulinho ↑,
79', Evandro ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
88', Samuel 🟨,
89', Marcio Jonatan ↓, Jean Lucca ↑,
89', Nonato ↓, Carlos Alexandre ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Lenon ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches Botafogo PB is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

EC São José Porto Alegre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
13.07.24	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:3 ✺
08.07.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Botafogo PB - Aparecidense	4:3 ✺
22.06.24	Londrina - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTT
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
13.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
08.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Floresta	0:0 ✺
04.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
07.08.23	Botafogo PB - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1
09.04.22	Botafogo PB - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1

Upcoming Matches