Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	ABC		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.9
	2.35	2.85	3
	2.3	2.95	2.95
	2.36	2.89	3.39
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.25	3.04	3.13	Watch
	2.32	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
39.4%

Draw
31%

Paysandu
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

ABC - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ABC: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Play Offs) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 2.

Recent matches ABC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches ABC won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.09.22	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Vitória Salvador - ABC	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Paysandu - ABC	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	ABC - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Figueirense - ABC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWWL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Paysandu - ABC	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Paysandu - Floresta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.08.22	Paysandu - ABC	0:1
20.04.22	ABC - Paysandu	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.17	Paysandu - ABC	2:0
06.06.17	ABC - Paysandu	2:1
15.09.15	Paysandu - ABC	3:2
12.06.15	ABC - Paysandu	0:2
Copa do Brasil
19.05.15	ABC - Paysandu	1:2

ABC - Paysandu