Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	EDMF Churra		Águilas

	1	X	2
	7.75	3.5	1.4
	6.75	3.45	1.4
	7.2	3.85	1.4
	7.43	3.85	1.43
	3.25	3.2	2.1
	8.9	4.45	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.88 ↑ (2.63)	3.72 ↑ (3.2)	1.51 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EDMF Churra
13.5%

Draw
25%

Águilas
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

20.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EDMF Churra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EDMF Churra's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EDMF Churra than the current prediction. (+33.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EDMF Churra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-34.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

EDMF Churra - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 13 (Second stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 13 (Promotion Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Churra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Águilas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Churra won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Churra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EDMF Churra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.02.21	Minerva - EDMF Churra	4:0 ✺
10.02.21	Los Garres - EDMF Churra	3:0 ✺
07.02.21	EDMF Churra - El Palmar	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Plus Ultra - EDMF Churra	0:1 ✺
13.12.20	EDMF Churra - Bullense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.02.21	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Águilas - Los Garres	0:0 ✺
27.01.21	Águilas - Bullense	4:0 ✺
17.01.21	Águilas - Plus Ultra	10:0 ✺
20.12.20	Pulpileño - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
25.11.20	Águilas - EDMF Churra	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.04.18	EDMF Churra - Águilas	0:0

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