Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Montrose		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.67
	4.10	3.80	1.63
	4.1	3.85	1.65
	4.14	4.05	1.76
	3.88	4.21	1.74	Watch
	4	3.75	1.74
	3.91	4.18	1.74	Watch
	4.1	3.95	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.67)	3.97 ↑ (3.95)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montrose
22.9%

Draw
23.1%

East Kilbride
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

23.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

22.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Montrose - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 3. Duffy F. 4. Quinn A. (C) 5. McGinty S. 20. Bertie K. 22. Craig H. 12. Freeman K. 8. Barjonas J. 11. Lyons B. 19. Oliver G. 16. Sutherland T.	1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. 24. O'Connor D. 2. Steele A. 19. Calder O. 7. McGrattan L. 26. Armstrong R. 10. Zaid M. 33. Moffat O. 8. Balde J. 9. Elliott C. (C)
Substitutes
6. Byrne S. 21. Campbell M. (G) 24. Clark R. 14. Dillon S. 9. Loudon E. 7. Webster G. 2. Williamson R.	18. Gray F. 4. Hamilton J. 11. McGuffie C. 21. McKendrick L. 23. McKenna C. 12. Ross E. 22. Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', O'Connor D. 🟨,
35', Craig H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Oliver G. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 0, Oliver G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', McGrattan L. ↓, Gray F. ↑,
46', Steele A. ↓, Dargie R. ↑,
46', Calder O. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
56', Moffat O. ↓, McGuffie C. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Craig H. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),
65', Craig H. ↓, Webster G. ↑,
67', Armstrong R. 🟨,
68', Freeman K. 🟨,
69', Bertie K. 🟨,
74', Bertie K. ↓, Williamson R. ↑,
74', Oliver G. ↓, Byrne S. ↑,
74', Sutherland T. ↓, Loudon E. ↑,
83', Barjonas J. ↓, Clark R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Montrose has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

East Kilbride is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, East Kilbride is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

East Kilbride: 3.13% Montrose: 1.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	East Kilbride	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

East Kilbride - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
15.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Montrose - Fraserburgh	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Ross County - Montrose	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:5 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Montrose - Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
15.08.26	East Kilbride - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	East Kilbride - Kilmarnock 2	5:3 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	East Kilbride - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	St. Mirren - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTWL

Upcoming Matches