Match Info

Date: 14 September 2021, Tuesday


	East Thurrock United		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.66
	3.8	3.95	1.68
	4.2	4.12	1.71
	3.8	4	1.66
	4.15	4.15	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.15)	4.04 ↓ (4.15)	1.68 (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Thurrock United
23.1%

Draw
22.5%

Folkestone Invicta
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Thurrock United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

East Thurrock United - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches East Thurrock is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Folkestone is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

East Thurrock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches East Thurrock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams East Thurrock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.09.21	Worthing - East Thurrock United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.09.21	Cambridge City - East Thurrock United	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.08.21	East Thurrock United - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Bowers & Pitsea - East Thurrock United	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	East Thurrock United - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWT
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.09.21	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	2:1 ✺
30.08.21	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Folkestone Invicta - Enfield Town	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Folkestone Invicta - Worthing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.02.20	East Thurrock United - Folkestone Invicta	1:3
22.10.19	Folkestone Invicta - East Thurrock United	4:1

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