Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 23

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.7	3.3	2.28
	2.75	3.25	2.31
	2.8	3.38	2.35
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.73	3.38	2.32
	2.75	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.13)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	2.31 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
33.1%

Draw
27.6%

Oxford City
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastbourne Borough's form might have worsened.

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastbourne Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastbourne Borough - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 2.

Eastbourne in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Oxford City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Oxford City have a series of home games.

Eastbourne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
06.12.22	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	1:5 ✺
22.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWW
- Oxford City
English National League South
06.12.22	Braintree Town - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Oxford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Cheshunt - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
22.11.22	Oxford City - Dartford	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Oxford City - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.08.22	Oxford City - Eastbourne Borough	1:3
11.05.22	Oxford City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
08.01.22	Oxford City - Eastbourne Borough	0:2
28.08.21	Eastbourne Borough - Oxford City	2:2
21.11.20	Oxford City - Eastbourne Borough	1:1
10.08.19	Eastbourne Borough - Oxford City	1:1
09.02.19	Eastbourne Borough - Oxford City	2:2

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