Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Oxford City		Dartford

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.24	3.35	2.85
	2.4	3.37	2.8
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.34	3.32	2.74
	2.24	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.79)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	2.79 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
39.9%

Draw
27.4%

Dartford
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.7%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27.7%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dartford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dartford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	35.7%	50%

Oxford City - Dartford Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Dartford will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dartford: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1.

Oxford City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dartford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Oxford City - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
15.11.22	Oxford City - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.22	Worthing - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Fleetwood Town - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWTLL
- Dartford
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Swindon Supermarine - Dartford	4:0 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Farnborough - Dartford	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	4:1 ✺
01.11.22	Dartford - Welling United	5:1 ✺
29.10.22	Dartford - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.04.22	Oxford City - Dartford	1:1
13.11.21	Dartford - Oxford City	0:0
11.01.20	Dartford - Oxford City	3:0
12.10.19	Oxford City - Dartford	0:1
27.04.19	Oxford City - Dartford	2:1
13.11.18	Dartford - Oxford City	3:2
English FA Cup
06.10.18	Oxford City - Dartford	4:1

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