The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hemel Hempstead Town 60.9%
Draw 20.9%
Eastbourne Borough 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.3%
21.1%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
15.5%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hemel Hempstead Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastbourne Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne Borough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Campbell R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, De Castro Q. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Ajayi K. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Noel-Williams I. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Eastbourne is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 1.
In recent matches, Hemel Hempstead has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Eastbourne is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Hemel Hempstead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hemel Hempstead has had a series of away games.
In this match, Hemel Hempstead is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).
Outrights of English National League South for now