Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	2.85	3.25	2.2
	3	3.2	2.21
	3.18	3.32	2.2
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.13	3.36	2.1
	3	3.2	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.22)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	2.18 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
30.2%

Draw
28.1%

Oxford City
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braintree Town's form might have worsened.

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braintree Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Braintree Town - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Oxford City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braintree: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Braintree could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oxford City have a series of home games.

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Braintree won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
03.12.22	Taunton Town - Braintree Town	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English National League South
15.11.22	Braintree Town - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Weymouth - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTL
- Oxford City
English National League South
03.12.22	Oxford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Cheshunt - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
22.11.22	Oxford City - Dartford	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Oxford City - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
15.11.22	Oxford City - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.04.22	Oxford City - Braintree Town	1:1
14.08.21	Braintree Town - Oxford City	1:1
12.01.21	Braintree Town - Oxford City	1:2
18.01.20	Oxford City - Braintree Town	1:4
28.09.19	Braintree Town - Oxford City	1:0
24.04.18	Braintree Town - Oxford City	0:0
02.09.17	Oxford City - Braintree Town	1:2

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