Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.78	3.6	4.2
	1.79	3.66	4.17	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.75	3.68	4.21
	1.78	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	3.59 ↓ (3.72)	4.11 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
52%

Draw
25.6%

St Albans City
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Clarke C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 4.

Recent matches Eastbourne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St Albans is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Eastbourne is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
01.01.25	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Boreham Wood - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWTL
- St Albans City
English National League South
01.01.25	St Albans City - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Worthing - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
10.12.24	Boreham Wood - St Albans City	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Maidstone United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:2
07.10.23	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:3
11.03.23	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:3
12.11.22	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0
05.03.22	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0
30.10.21	St Albans City - Eastbourne Borough	2:1
28.11.20	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	0:1

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