Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 22

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	St Albans City		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3	3.28	2.37
	3	3.3	2.33	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	2.98	3.16	2.32
	3.1	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.14)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
30.6%

Draw
29%

Truro City
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.4%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

St Albans City - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Banton Z. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Gray N. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Dean W. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 0.

St Albans is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Truro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St Albans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently St Albans have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches St Albans won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:23 (average 1.8:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
14.12.24	Worthing - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
10.12.24	Boreham Wood - St Albans City	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Maidstone United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Aveley - St Albans City	6:3 ✺
23.11.24	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTLL
- Truro City
English National League South
14.12.24	Truro City - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Truro City	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4 ✺
23.11.24	Truro City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.03.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2
02.12.23	Truro City - St Albans City	3:1
23.02.19	St Albans City - Truro City	2:2
08.01.19	Truro City - St Albans City	2:1
10.03.18	St Albans City - Truro City	0:1
02.12.17	Truro City - St Albans City	1:2
25.02.17	Truro City - St Albans City	3:2

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