Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday


	Eastern Lions		Melbourne Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.33	1.5
	5.6	4.2	1.41
	7.2	4.5	1.36
	5.43	4.61	1.52
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	5.9	4.6	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (5.15)	4.44 ↑ (3.78)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Lions
15.4%

Draw
20.7%

Melbourne Knights
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

23.9%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

23.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Eastern Lions - Melbourne Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Eastern Lions has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melbourne Knights is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melbourne Knights could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Melbourne Knights is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eastern Lions won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Lions SC
Australian NPL Victoria
08.07.22	Bentleigh Greens - Eastern Lions	3:0 ✺
02.07.22	Eastern Lions - South Melbourne	0:4 ✺
25.06.22	Avondale - Eastern Lions	5:1 ✺
18.06.22	Eastern Lions - Dandenong City	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Port Melbourne Sharks - Eastern Lions	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
02.07.22	Hume City - Melbourne Knights	3:1 ✺
24.06.22	Melbourne Knights - St Albans Dinamo	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Heidelberg United - Melbourne Knights	3:2 ✺
10.06.22	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne Knights	2:1 ✺
03.06.22	Melbourne Knights - South Melbourne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
14.04.22	Melbourne Knights - Eastern Lions	3:0
21.05.21	Melbourne Knights - Eastern Lions	1:2

Eastern Lions - Melbourne Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide