Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 15

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Knights Stadium (Melbourne)


	Melbourne Knights		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.3	2.27	Watch
	2.92	3.55	2.34
	2.88	3.43	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.82	3.35	2.24	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.79)	3.4 ↓ (3.68)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Knights
32.3%

Draw
27%

South Melbourne
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

24.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

23.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Melbourne Knights - South Melbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melbourne Knights will win (votes: 1 - 20%). South Melbourne will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Melbourne Knights (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Knights (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Pope J. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Pope J. ⚽,
37', Pope J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 0.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Knights won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
16.05.25	Heidelberg United - Melbourne Knights	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	4:0 ✺
04.05.25	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong City	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Hume City - Melbourne Knights	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong Thunder	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
18.05.25	South Melbourne - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	South Melbourne - Oakleigh Cannons	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Avondale - South Melbourne	4:0 ✺
25.04.25	Green Gully - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	South Melbourne - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
17.02.25	South Melbourne - Melbourne Knights	3:1
17.05.24	Melbourne Knights - South Melbourne	0:1
08.02.24	South Melbourne - Melbourne Knights	1:0
02.06.23	Melbourne Knights - South Melbourne	1:2
06.03.23	South Melbourne - Melbourne Knights	2:1
03.06.22	Melbourne Knights - South Melbourne	2:1
04.03.22	South Melbourne - Melbourne Knights	2:0

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