Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 21

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Eastern Lions		Melbourne Srbija

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.9	1.83
	3.1	4.05	1.82
	3.2	4.05	1.78
				Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.85
	3.4	4	1.8
	3.49	4.05	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.95)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Lions
27.5%

Draw
22.7%

Melbourne Srbija
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

20.2%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

20.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Eastern Lions - Melbourne Srbija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Eastern Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne Srbija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne Srbija could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eastern Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Lions SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
28.06.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Eastern Lions	5:1 ✺
21.06.25	Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Eastern Lions - Moreland City	6:2 ✺
06.06.25	Northcote City - Eastern Lions	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
28.06.25	Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne Srbija	0:3 ✺
13.06.25	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Melbourne Srbija - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Manningham United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
29.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Eastern Lions	2:3

Eastern Lions - Melbourne Srbija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide