Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hornchurch Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Hornchurch		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.88
	2.15	3.30	2.85
	2.17	3.40	2.95
	2.39	3.50	3.04
	2.11	3.68	3.09	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.85
	2.24	3.56	2.93
	2.24	3.50	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.07)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
41.7%

Draw
26.7%

Eastleigh
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-2%)

Hornchurch - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nasta A. (G) 5. Baldwin J. 6. Dallison T. 22. Edwards F. 2. Greenidge W. 9. Hearn H. 27. Massey A. 14. Pegrum C. 21. Poleon D. 11. Sandat H. 8. Wraight T. (C)	1. Townsend N. (G) 5. Bakare I. 11. Blair A. 2. Caprice J. 24. Cousins J. (C) 7. Dickov M. 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 12. Hawkins O. 27. Johnson R. 8. Lundstram J. 4. Sidwell H.
Substitutes
10. Balanta A. 13. Byrne R. (G) 15. Ferguson N. 30. Loft R. 4. Powell J. 7. Walker J. 18. Weston M.	22. Bamey S. . ihnatenko I. 15. Jeffries J. (G) 35. Killick C. 10. Randall W. 17. Rankine D. 30. Underhill C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Poleon D. ⚽, Greenidge W. (A),
28', Cousins J. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
36', Hearn H. 🟨,
38', Sandat H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sandat H. ↓, Weston M. ↑,
46', Hearn H. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
48', Dallison T. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Baldwin J. ⚽, Massey A. (A),
65', Hawkins O. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
65', Johnson R. ↓, Bamey S. ↑,
70', Wraight T. ↓, Balanta A. ↑,
70', Poleon D. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
74', Dickov M. 🟨,
77', Bakare I. 🟨,
77', Loft R. 🟨,
84', Dickov M. ↓, Underhill C. ↑,
87', Blair A. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 17th).

Hornchurch has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Eastleigh is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hornchurch may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hornchurch is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hornchurch has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hornchurch against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Hornchurch	15	7	0	8	17:23	-6	21
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18:22	-4	18

Outrights of English National League for now

Hornchurch: 0.42% Eastleigh: 0.27%

Last Results with these Odds

Hornchurch - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.88%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League Cup
06.10.26	Hornchurch - Fulham U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
03.10.26	Harrogate Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Hornchurch - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Altrincham - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Hornchurch - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
03.10.26	Eastleigh - Woking	1:3 ✺
30.09.26	Eastleigh - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.04.13	Eastleigh - Hornchurch	1:0
17.11.12	Hornchurch - Eastleigh	1:0

Upcoming Matches