Match Info

National League - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.63
	2.38	3.5	2.68
	2.54	3.69	2.66
	2.36	3.57	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.43	3.49	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.29)	3.51 ↑ (3.43)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
38.6%

Draw
26.5%

Tamworth
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Eastleigh - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 24. Cousins J. 26. Giles L. 28. Moore J. 31. Maher N. 7. Evans K. 6. Eweka T. 4. Humphries L. 11. Blair A. 21. Effiong I.	1. Singh J. (G) 2. Curley M. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 11. Fairlamb L. 5. Digie K. 14. Mols S. 16. Riley J. 42. Kurtaran T. 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.
Substitutes
25. Aguiar R. 29. Bamey S. 27. Harris A. 17. Lundstram J. 22. McNamara J. (G) 15. Saunders H. 30. Underhill C.	6. Bates A. 26. Hollis H. 31. Maher R. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 44. Reindorf M. 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Evans K. ⚽, Giles L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽, Creaney D. (A),
35', Humphries L. ↓, Aguiar R. ↑,
37', Moore J. 🟨,
45+4', Brindley R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Eweka T. 🟨,
53', Kurtaran T. 🟨,
60', Acquaye B. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
64', Effiong I. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
64', Giles L. ↓, Harris A. ↑,
64', Brindley R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
69', Blair A. 🟨,
72', Lynch O. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
72', Kurtaran T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
77', Creaney D. 🟨,
79', Cousins J. ↓, Underhill C. ↑,
83', Riley J. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
83', Mols S. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 11).

Eastleigh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tamworth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Tamworth - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.5%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
11.04.26	Altrincham - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Eastleigh - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Woking - Eastleigh	3:3 ✺
28.03.26	Eastleigh - Forest Green Rovers	2:4 ✺
24.03.26	Eastleigh - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLL
- Tamworth
English National League
11.04.26	Tamworth - York City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Halifax Town - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tamworth - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Brackley Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.09.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	1:0
29.03.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	2:0
07.09.24	Eastleigh - Tamworth	1:0

Eastleigh - Tamworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide