Match Info

National League - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Eastleigh		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.63
	2.38	3.5	2.68
	2.54	3.69	2.66
	2.36	3.57	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.43	3.49	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.29)	3.51 ↑ (3.43)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
38.6%

Draw
26.5%

Tamworth
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Eastleigh - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 24. Cousins J. 26. Giles L. 28. Moore J. 31. Maher N. 7. Evans K. 6. Eweka T. 4. Humphries L. 11. Blair A. 21. Effiong I.	1. Singh J. (G) 2. Curley M. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 11. Fairlamb L. 5. Digie K. 14. Mols S. 16. Riley J. 42. Kurtaran T. 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.
Substitutes
25. Aguiar R. 29. Bamey S. 27. Harris A. 17. Lundstram J. 22. McNamara J. (G) 15. Saunders H. 30. Underhill C.	6. Bates A. 26. Hollis H. 31. Maher R. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 44. Reindorf M. 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Evans K. ⚽, Giles L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽, Creaney D. (A),
35', Humphries L. ↓, Aguiar R. ↑,
37', Moore J. 🟨,
45+4', Brindley R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Eweka T. 🟨,
53', Kurtaran T. 🟨,
60', Acquaye B. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
64', Effiong I. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
64', Giles L. ↓, Harris A. ↑,
64', Brindley R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
69', Blair A. 🟨,
72', Lynch O. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
72', Kurtaran T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
77', Creaney D. 🟨,
79', Cousins J. ↓, Underhill C. ↑,
83', Riley J. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
83', Mols S. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 11).

Eastleigh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tamworth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	15	5	3	7	18:24	-6	18
18	Tamworth	14	5	2	7	25:31	-6	17

Outrights of English National League for now

Tamworth: 0.72% Eastleigh: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Tamworth - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.5%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
11.04.26	Altrincham - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Eastleigh - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Woking - Eastleigh	3:3 ✺
28.03.26	Eastleigh - Forest Green Rovers	2:4 ✺
24.03.26	Eastleigh - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLL
- Tamworth
English National League
11.04.26	Tamworth - York City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Halifax Town - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tamworth - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Brackley Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.09.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	1:0
29.03.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	2:0
07.09.24	Eastleigh - Tamworth	1:0

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