Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.82	3.5	2.28
	2.78	3.67	2.4
	2.88	3.51	2.28	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.78	3.6	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.37)	3.53 ↑ (3.53)	2.3 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
33.2%

Draw
26.3%

Tamworth
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brackley Town's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brackley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Brackley Town - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tamworth will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rhone H. (G) 5. Morrison K. 6. Dean G. (C) 19. Lilly Z. 10. Roberts M. 17. Elliott-Wheeler A. 8. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. 7. Pollock S. 11. Lowe M. 27. Hall C.	1. Singh J. (C) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 42. Kurtaran T. 16. Riley J. 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.
Substitutes
3. Calder R. 29. Harratt K. 1. Maxted J. (G) 4. Price J. 2. Tripp C. 13. Worby A. (G)	3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 2. Curley M. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 13. Rachel D. (G) 44. Reindorf M. 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Brown Z. ↓, Tripp C. ↑,
40', Lynch O. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
41', Rye J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Hall C. 🟨,
64', Roberts M. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Mols S. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Byrne S. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
79', Acquaye B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
86', Lilly Z. ↓, Calder R. ↑,
90+5', Reindorf M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 1.

Brackley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tamworth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brackley won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 0.8:0).

Outrights of English National League for now

Tamworth: 0.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.04%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
24.03.26	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	York City - Brackley Town	4:0 ✺
17.03.26	Brackley Town - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Brackley Town - Woking	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Eastleigh - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLL
- Tamworth
English National League
25.03.26	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tamworth - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Wealdstone - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Woking - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.08.25	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1
English National League North
01.04.24	Brackley Town - Tamworth	3:0
21.11.23	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:0
20.01.18	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1
05.09.17	Brackley Town - Tamworth	0:0
11.02.17	Tamworth - Brackley Town	2:1
06.08.16	Brackley Town - Tamworth	0:0

Brackley Town - Tamworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide