Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Australia	06:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	22:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	03:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	01:15	DAZN
Indonesia	02:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	03:45	DAZN
Mexico	13:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	15:45	DAZN
Philippines	03:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	22:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	21:45	DAZN
South Korea	04:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Thailand	02:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:45	DAZN
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
Vietnam	02:45	DAZN


	Eastleigh		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.88	3.45	2.25
	3.02	3.62	2.26
	2.82	3.64	2.27	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.25
	2.92	3.38	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.47)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)	2.25 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
32.5%

Draw
26.6%

Sutton United
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastleigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutton United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Eastleigh - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 6. Eweka T. 28. Moore J. 3. Vokins J. 17. Lundstram J. 24. Cousins J. (C) 7. Evans K. 15. Saunders H. 21. Effiong I. 11. Blair A.	1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 42. Muller H. 14. Pruti E. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 37. Bell C. 28. Jennings K. 8. Simper L. 25. Taylor J. 34. Njoku B. 29. Foyo O.
Substitutes
29. Bamey S. 35. Killick C. 22. McNamara J. (G) 10. Tabor J. 30. Underhill C. 14. Waite J. 18. Wariuh A.	51. Byron T. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Rodari D. 36. Urpens D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Townsend N. 🟥,
7', Evans K. ↓, McNamara J. ↑,
13', 0 - 1, Jennings K. ⚽,
21', Donkor K. 🟨,
29', Donkor K. ↓, Urpens D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Effiong I. ↓, Wariuh A. ↑,
76', Muller H. 🟨,
78', Taylor J. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Njoku B. ⚽, Ogbonna D. (A),
84', Cousins J. ↓, Waite J. ↑,
85', Saunders H. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1.

Eastleigh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sutton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sutton	15	6	3	6	17:21	-4	21
17	Eastleigh	15	5	3	7	18:24	-6	18

Outrights of English National League for now

Eastleigh: 0.72% Sutton: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Eastleigh - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
21.03.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
10.03.26	Eastleigh - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	York City - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL
- Sutton United
English National League
21.03.26	Sutton United - Truro City	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sutton United - Morecambe	0:5 ✺
03.03.26	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1
25.01.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	1:0
26.08.24	Eastleigh - Sutton United	1:1
24.04.21	Eastleigh - Sutton United	1:0
23.01.21	Sutton United - Eastleigh	3:0
13.08.19	Eastleigh - Sutton United	1:1
19.01.19	Eastleigh - Sutton United	3:2

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