Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.88	3.45	2.25
	3.02	3.62	2.26
	2.82	3.64	2.27	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.25
	2.92	3.38	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.47)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)	2.25 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
32.5%

Draw
26.6%

Sutton United
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.7%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastleigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutton United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Eastleigh - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 6. Eweka T. 28. Moore J. 3. Vokins J. 17. Lundstram J. 24. Cousins J. (C) 7. Evans K. 15. Saunders H. 21. Effiong I. 11. Blair A.	1. Sims J. (G) 50. Donkor K. 42. Muller H. 14. Pruti E. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 37. Bell C. 28. Jennings K. 8. Simper L. 25. Taylor J. 34. Njoku B. 29. Foyo O.
Substitutes
29. Bamey S. 35. Killick C. 22. McNamara J. (G) 10. Tabor J. 30. Underhill C. 14. Waite J. 18. Wariuh A.	51. Byron T. 47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 23. Harris J. J. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Rodari D. 36. Urpens D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Townsend N. 🟥,
7', Evans K. ↓, McNamara J. ↑,
13', 0 - 1, Jennings K. ⚽,
21', Donkor K. 🟨,
29', Donkor K. ↓, Urpens D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Effiong I. ↓, Wariuh A. ↑,
76', Muller H. 🟨,
78', Taylor J. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Njoku B. ⚽, Ogbonna D. (A),
84', Cousins J. ↓, Waite J. ↑,
85', Saunders H. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 19 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1.

Eastleigh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sutton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Eastleigh - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
21.03.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
10.03.26	Eastleigh - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	York City - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL
- Sutton United
English National League
21.03.26	Sutton United - Truro City	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sutton United - Morecambe	0:5 ✺
03.03.26	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1
25.01.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	1:0
26.08.24	Eastleigh - Sutton United	1:1
24.04.21	Eastleigh - Sutton United	1:0
23.01.21	Sutton United - Eastleigh	3:0
13.08.19	Eastleigh - Sutton United	1:1
19.01.19	Eastleigh - Sutton United	3:2

Eastleigh - Sutton United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide