Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Ebbsfleet United		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.6	4.9
	1.56	3.75	5.2
	1.56	3.95	5.73
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.53	3.92	5.4
	1.56	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.05)	3.72 ↑ (3.24)	5.28 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
58.3%

Draw
24.5%

Dartford
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dartford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebbsfleet United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dartford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Ebbsfleet United - Dartford Predictions

Users Predictions: Ebbsfleet United will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ebbsfleet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ebbsfleet is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
20.12.22	Cheshunt - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
13.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
06.12.22	Worthing - Ebbsfleet United	0:6 ✺
03.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.11.22	Ebbsfleet United - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Dartford
English National League South
14.12.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:3 ✺
10.12.22	Dartford - Bath City	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Chelmsford City - Dartford	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Dartford - Concord Rangers	3:1 ✺
22.11.22	Oxford City - Dartford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.02.22	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	1:0
02.01.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dartford	1:0
02.01.21	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	0:0
Club Friendly
09.07.19	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
English National League South
01.01.17	Ebbsfleet United - Dartford	1:0
26.12.16	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	2:1
28.03.16	Ebbsfleet United - Dartford	1:1

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