Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.95	1.36
	13.03	5.76	1.21	Watch
	6	4.75	1.36
	5.33	5.33	1.44
	5.75	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.36 ↑ (4.81)	5.06 ↑ (3.98)	1.35 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
12.7%

Draw
18.4%

Forest Green Rovers
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.8%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.2%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ebbsfleet United's form might have worsened.

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forest Green Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Moore I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, Babalola T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ebbsfleet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
30.12.25	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
03.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Forest Green Rovers - Truro City	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Brackley Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Yeovil Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Forest Green Rovers - Weston-super-Mare	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.02.25	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
22.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Ebbsfleet United	3:1
English FA Trophy
10.01.15	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0
English National League
30.03.13	Ebbsfleet United - Forest Green Rovers	0:2
04.09.12	Forest Green Rovers - Ebbsfleet United	4:1
06.04.12	Forest Green Rovers - Ebbsfleet United	N/A

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