Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Ebbsfleet United		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.5
	1.65	4	3.8
	1.68	4.33	4.2
	1.7	4.45	4.21
	1.7	4.45	4.21
	1.73	3.75	3.7
	1.67	4.15	4.15
	1.68	4.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	4.15 ↑ (3.83)	4.1 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
55%

Draw
22.4%

Oxford City
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Oxford City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ebbsfleet: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 18. Clifford B. 15. Cundle G. 19. Fanimo M. 36. Kenlock M. 6. Olagunju M. 14. Poleon D. 31. Samuel D. 20. Solly C. 10. Tanner C. 4. Wright J.	26. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Carroll C. (C) 7. Coyle L. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 21. Kpekawa C. 10. McEachran Z. 11. McQueen A. 22. Moore T. 12. Roberts M. 9. Sanderson O. 15. Smith R.
Substitutes
16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 11. McQueen D. 21. Odokonyero N. 2. O'Neil L.	8. Fleet R. 5. Kirby N. 3. Miccio L. 23. Ofosu C. 18. William-Bushell A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Ebbsfleet have a series of guest games.

In this match Ebbsfleet is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
11.11.23	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Ebbsfleet United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Southend United - Ebbsfleet United	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLTL
- Oxford City
English National League
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Oxford City - Barnet	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Wealdstone - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bromley - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.04.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	3:0
27.09.22	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
12.03.22	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	3:1
30.11.21	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:0
29.04.17	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	1:0
03.12.16	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:3
13.02.16	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:1

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